The action on Tuesday was centered on confusion and mystery.
Why was there heavy gold selling in Asia? The dollar was also quite weak. Is the inverse gold/dollar relationship broken?
Sure the fiscal cliff looms and it makes for good theater, sells soap but answers few questions regarding other issues like what’s going on with commodities and precious metals. Let’s just say there is plenty of nefarious dealings taking place in commodity markets overall.
This post is brief since there’s no reason to try and solve these puzzles perhaps even inspector Clouseau-style.
As indicated the dollar (UUP) was quite weak and so too gold (GLD). Stocks just churned about making little progress one way or another. It may be, pending other events, stocks may just remain camped until the cliff is resolved or not.
Given this lack of progress away from currency and commodity markets there was little else to do but remain a spectator Tuesday. This lack of direction makes this commentary very short.
Volume was once again quite light and breadth per the WSJ was mixed to flat.

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Premium members to the ETF Digest receive added signals when markets become extended such as DeMark triggers to exit overbought/oversold conditions.

The NYMO is a market breadth indicator that is based on the difference between the number of advancing and declining issues on the NYSE. When readings are +60/-60 markets are extended short-term.

The McClellan Summation Index is a long-term version of the McClellan Oscillator. It is a market breadth indicator, and interpretation is similar to that of the McClellan Oscillator, except that it is more suited to major trends. I believe readings of +1000/-1000 reveal markets as much extended.

The VIX is a widely used measure of market risk and is often referred to as the "investor fear gauge". Our own interpretation is highlighted in the chart above. The VIX measures the level of put option activity over a 30-day period. Greater buying of put options (protection) causes the index to rise.
















Wednesday features the ADP Employment Report, Productivity & Costs, Factory Orders, ISM Non-Mfg Index and EIA Petroleum Status Report. We’ll also have more entertainment from politicians.
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The charts and comments are only the author’s view of market activity and aren’t recommendations to buy or sell any security. Market sectors and related ETFs are selected based on his opinion as to their importance in providing the viewer a comprehensive summary of market conditions for the featured period. Chart annotations aren’t predictive of any future market action rather they only demonstrate the author’s opinion as to a range of possibilities going forward. More detailed information, including actionable alerts, are available to subscribers at www.etfdigest.com.